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Prediction markets for Immigration Department
Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?
Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.83%chance
144938
OptionVotes
3213
311
Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
Jul 27, 5:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
43380
OptionProbability
19
19
19
14
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
995
10
Hamideh Soleimani the niece of late IRGC General Qassem Soleimani?
Apr 6, 9:45 PMApr 13, 9:44 PM
21.52%chance
61618
OptionVotes
1910
524
Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?
Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.88%chance
121332
OptionVotes
1836
545
Will the federal government bring a criminal or civil case against Ilhan Omar over her immigration history by EOY 2027?
Oct 22, 8:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
141296
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027
Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.79%chance
12669
OptionVotes
1432
698
Will Columbia University be a going concern on January 20th, 2029?
Apr 13, 2:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
92.16%chance
9491
OptionVotes
343
29
Will ICE deploy gloves that deliver electric shocks by EOY 2026?
Aug 13, 1:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.95%chance
12386
OptionVotes
142
70
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:27 PM
19.34%chance
11334
OptionVotes
185
66
Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?
Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
48.73%chance
3107
OptionVotes
103
97
Will anyone be prosecuted for the murder of Alex Pretti by the end of 2027?
Feb 23, 7:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.58%chance
581
OptionVotes
180
56
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