Immigration Department News
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Prediction markets for Immigration Department
ICE kills another US citizen by end of February 2026
Jan 28, 10:13 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
19.72%chance
13011174
OptionVotes
1898
534
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Jan 8, 6:11 PMDec 31, 4:44 PM
80.81%chance
7010387
OptionVotes
266
156
Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?
Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.77%chance
113603
OptionVotes
1953
512
Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
Jul 27, 5:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32239
OptionProbability
6
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will ICE agents enforce immigration control while at 2026 winter olympics in Milan, Italy?
Jan 27, 9:03 PMFeb 27, 11:59 PM
7.18%chance
72145
OptionVotes
2991
694
OptionVotes
1013
963
Will fatal ICE shooting in the US occur again before March 2026?
Jan 26, 2:31 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
61.27%chance
311396
OptionVotes
627
535
Will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be deported to El Salvador before 2029?
Jun 7, 3:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
22.88%chance
121332
OptionVotes
1836
545
Gregory Bovino out of Border Patrol by the end of 2026?
Jan 26, 11:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
75.69%chance
231066
OptionVotes
793
351
OptionVotes
1152
803
Will Congress fund the Department of Homeland Security by February 13?
Feb 4, 2:30 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM
41.74%chance
4384
OptionVotes
1181
846
Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?
Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
48.21%chance
2106
OptionVotes
104
96
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