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Prediction markets for Immigration
If Trump wins, will undocumented immigration go down? (Southern Border)
Mar 4, 3:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
95.86%chance
23695344
OptionVotes
35095
3769
Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
Nov 6, 7:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
25.03%chance
5826815
OptionVotes
1731
578
Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?
Jan 28, 11:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.9%chance
2116066
OptionVotes
17426
6658
If Trump wins, will deportation of illegal immigrants go up by 50%?
Mar 18, 1:07 PMMay 1, 6:59 AM
93.25%chance
355771
OptionVotes
3735
328
Trump Legal Immigration Action During Second Term (What actions in bills/executive orders will be taken before 2029?)
Nov 14, 5:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
45095
OptionProbability
15
10
Will undocumented immigrants be able to vote for president in any state in the US by the end of 2025?
Dec 25, 10:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
7.42%chance
403223
OptionVotes
1824
883
Will a Significant US Immigration Law be Passed in 2025?
Nov 6, 10:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
27.91%chance
161693
OptionVotes
1607
622
100k unauthorized immigrants “self-deport” using CBP Home app by 2026?
May 5, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.25%chance
81535
OptionVotes
1984
504
Will a paramilitary group form around the anti immigration movement in the UK in the next 6 years?
Aug 14, 12:10 AMDec 21, 11:59 PM
26.79%chance
131177
OptionVotes
1653
605
Will Japan change immigration policies to encourage immigration substantially in the next 10 years?
Jul 14, 4:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40.98%chance
14506
OptionVotes
1120
762
Will high skill immigration to the USA become more restricted under President Trump?
Nov 15, 7:17 AMNov 22, 11:59 PM
43.34%chance
17459
OptionVotes
114
87
Will the US admit more than 2 million immigrants in any year before 2025?
Feb 4, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.36%chance
4264
OptionVotes
325
41