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Top stories

Mexico's INE Drops Case Over Cash Videos Involving Pío López Obrador and Morena

Mexico's INE Drops Case Over Cash Videos Involving Pío López Obrador and Morena

Authors

5

6 months ago

President Claudia Sheinbaum Meets Morena Leaders to Discuss Customs Law, 2026 Economic Package, Electoral Reform, and Reaffirms Senate Coordination

President Claudia Sheinbaum Meets Morena Leaders to Discuss Customs Law, 2026 Economic Package, Electoral Reform, and Reaffirms Senate Coordination

Authors

7

6 months ago

Sheinbaum Backs Electoral Reform as Hugo Aguilar Leads Suprema Corte and PAN to Preside Chamber of Deputies

Sheinbaum Backs Electoral Reform as Hugo Aguilar Leads Suprema Corte and PAN to Preside Chamber of Deputies

Authors

6

5 months ago

China’s 10-Year Bond Futures at 108.000, 30-Year Futures Down 1% Amid Mixed Commodity Prices

Authors

5

6 months ago

Prediction markets for INE

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

5.72%chance

1817218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15095

38

Are different inertial frames symmetric?

Nov 28, 3:02 PMNov 3, 2:59 PM

14.24%chance

276120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2012

113

Is Web3 gaming inevitable?

Jan 14, 4:14 PMDec 31, 4:14 PM

53.45%chance

53674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1072

933

Do you think that agi by 2030 is inevitable?

Sep 12, 3:50 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

89.58%chance

7722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

293

34

Will the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)

Dec 16, 11:42 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.42%chance

20396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

983

Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?

Jul 8, 11:11 AMOct 6, 2:59 AM

85.22%chance

9344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

305

56

The inescapability of death (stock)

Aug 5, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

55.93%chance

10245

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

163

Will Ineos still claim main title sponsorship of current UCI World Tour Team Ineos Grenadiers by end of 2026?

Aug 9, 11:54 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

70.69%chance

8204

OptionVotes

NO

YES

201

120

Is Heat Death inevitable?

Apr 3, 6:10 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

80%chance

8184

OptionVotes

NO

YES

228

111

Inequality falls in the US between 2020 and 2030.

Feb 12, 5:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.12%chance

7134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

171

146

Will global inequality be worse in the year 2100 than 2024?

Mar 28, 1:48 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

44.43%chance

563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

193

When will (inelastic) graviton-* scattering be observed?

Aug 31, 3:45 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.69%chance

560

OptionProbability

NO

YES

248

135

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