INE News
Top stories
Prediction markets for INE
Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?
Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM
5.72%chance
1817218
OptionVotes
15095
38
OptionVotes
2012
113
OptionVotes
1472
680
OptionVotes
293
34
Will the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)
Dec 16, 11:42 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
31.42%chance
20396
OptionVotes
1023
983
Will Bolsonaro be declared ineligible for the 2030 general elections?
Jul 8, 11:11 AMOct 6, 2:59 AM
85.22%chance
9344
OptionVotes
305
56
OptionVotes
177
163
Will "Inscrutability was always inevitable, right?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Feb 12, 7:00 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
40.08%chance
2219
OptionVotes
1219
297
Will Ineos still claim main title sponsorship of current UCI World Tour Team Ineos Grenadiers by end of 2026?
Aug 9, 11:54 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
70.69%chance
8204
OptionVotes
201
120
OptionVotes
228
111
What color will the ‘grey goo’ be when it inevitably destroys humanity?
Nov 5, 4:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
160
OptionProbability
50
26
26
26
26
26
26
When will (inelastic) graviton-* scattering be observed?
Aug 31, 3:45 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
66.69%chance
560
OptionProbability
248
135