Institute of Verifications News

Mexico City Relocates 4:20 Cannabis Camp on August 4 With Invea and SSC to Three Controlled Locations Amid Illegal Sales Concerns

1 day ago

Top SWE-Bench Verified score in 2025?

Feb 28, 6:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

1937355

This is a solution to alignment.

Jul 26, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.09%chance

4429136

OptionVotes

YES

1995

501

Did Stephen Wolfram solve the second law of thermodynamics?

May 25, 12:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4.75%chance

285207

OptionVotes

YES

4479

223

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

Jun 8, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

12.22%chance

203337

OptionVotes

YES

2681

373

In what year will Al achieve 85% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?

Feb 7, 1:03 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

152110

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2025

2029

2030-2034

Will ivermectin be proven to be a superconducter by new years 2026

Aug 29, 9:18 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

1.36%chance

141729

OptionVotes

YES

1795

946

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.95%chance

91300

OptionVotes

YES

3864

3220

In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?

Feb 7, 1:33 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5445

OptionProbability

2030-2034

2029

2027

2028

2026

2025

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Jul 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 10:46 PM

60.34%chance

7337

OptionVotes

YES

1233

811

Will Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?

Feb 7, 12:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68.43%chance

6185

OptionVotes

YES

188

Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?

Feb 10, 1:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

197

In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?

Jun 21, 4:53 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

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Aug 4, 2025
Aug 4, 2025
Mexico
Politics
World
Mexico City Relocates 4:20 Cannabis Camp on August 4 With Invea and SSC to Three Controlled Locations Amid Illegal Sales Concerns
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Institute of Verifications News

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Prediction markets for Institute of Verifications

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Top SWE-Bench Verified score in 2025?

This is a solution to alignment.

Did Stephen Wolfram solve the second law of thermodynamics?

Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?

In what year will Al achieve 85% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?

Will ivermectin be proven to be a superconducter by new years 2026

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?

If I die, will I be successfully cryopreserved?

Will Al achieve 85% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2027?

Will Al achieve 95% or higher on the Humanity's Last Exam benchmark before 2028?

In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark?

Latest stories

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