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Prediction markets for International Operated Markets
OptionVotes
1206
796
In what year will China establish a domestic semiconductor supply chain that is not vulnerable to sanctions?
Mar 28, 12:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
182065
OptionVotes
1465
828
OptionVotes
605
17
SpaceX announces decommissioning of Dragon spacecraft before September 3, 2025
Jun 6, 5:11 AMSep 2, 11:59 PM
1%chance
7914
OptionVotes
995
10
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?
Jul 11, 6:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
54.7%chance
2400
OptionVotes
2198
1820
Will the international space station be officially decommissioned before the end of 2030?
May 13, 3:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50.46%chance
10292
OptionVotes
101
99
Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?
Dec 29, 4:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
82.53%chance
14289
OptionVotes
987
970
Russian forces establish sustained presence in Sumy region by October 9, 2025?
Apr 13, 9:34 PMOct 9, 11:59 PM
66.93%chance
10254
OptionVotes
142
70
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?
Jun 30, 9:06 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
4240
OptionProbability
54
23
23
OptionVotes
121
82
Will Nestlé publicly apologize for its role in past human rights abuses by 2030?
Aug 7, 2:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
44.76%chance
3111
OptionVotes
1111
900