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I visit Times Square

A friend from [city] comes to NYC and I see them

I explore the High Line

At least 20 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

I attend an OBNYC meetup

I visit the New York Public Library

I visit the Empire State Building

I see a Broadway show

I visit the Statue of Liberty

I am at least moderately homesick

I meet someone I've met before at [company]

I see a rat (rattus norvegicus)

I eat a new york bagel

At least 50 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

I explore Central Park

I really like the city

I gain the desire to move to NYC

I see a horse

I visit the Met

I visit the MoMA

I gain a romantic interest

I cry at some point

I get a good intuition for what a Kan extension is

I start using at least one "New York ism" in my regular speech

I lose 5 lbs

I visit the Guggenheim Museum

I visit the American Museum of Natural History

At least 100 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

I kiss someone

I witness a man arguing passionately with no one

I meet someone I think is smarter than anyone I have ever met before

I hail a cab

I wish I had spent more time doing tourist-y things

Someone signs up primarily to bet in this market

I see at least 4 protests

I resolve a proposition in this market incorrectly

I eat at least 10 meals of plain white rice

My opinion of the United States changes significantly in valence

I eat a bagel with lox and cream cheese from Russ & Daughters

I gain at least 5lbs of weight

I eat something from a street cart that costs less than $5

I attend a pride parade

I play chess in a park

I actively participate in or actively attend a political rally or political protest

I explore Coney Island

I hail a cab in a way that could plausibly be mistaken for a nazi salute

I hear someone say "I'm walkin' here!" unironically

I regret making this market

I witness a violent crime

It will allow to predict in advance whether a given intelligence architecture will be sentient

It will be solved by AI

It will open a new seemingly unsolvable problem

The methods developed to solve the problem will be proven to be useful to approach other seemingly unsolvable problems (such as why does reality exist rather non-exist?)

It will be shown that every intelligence is sentient to some extent

It will be shown that for any level of intelligence, a non-sentient intelligence can exist

Retrospectively, the solution will look relatively trivial and such that it could have been found much earlier by much smaller efforts

The process of understanding its solution by a median human will take less time than it takes for a median human to successfully complete undergrad 1-year calculus course

The solution will be formally accepted, but the consensus will be that no one understands the “intuition behind it”

It will be shown that the higher is the level of intelligence, the harder it is to construct a non-sentient intelligence

The full set of all possible qualia will be derived from it

It will be solved within the standard modern scientific framework and scientific method understanding

It will require some paradigm shift in logic/epistemology/scientific method

It will be shown that some sufficiently high level of intelligence requires sentience

YES

YES

Micron

TSMC

Tesla

Symbotic

Softbank

NVIDIA

Velodar / Ouster (OUST)

ARM

Qualcomm

SMCI

Meta

Palantir

Baidu

Alibaba

Intuitive Surgical

AMD

ASML

Google / Alphabet

Mobileye

Lam Research

Dell

Amazon

Microsoft

Intel

Apple

Walmart

JPMorgan Chase

Intentful bodily care (sleep, water, and light exercise)

Careful tracking of burnout and allocating time and resources to explicit relaxation

Other

Stress less about general image and status

get enough sleep

write note files/.txt files/gdocs/other single document to describe what you hope to get out of each experiment, before you run it

seek worst case bounds, but distrust them

Mark's post on how to do theoretical research: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/zbFGRRWPwxBwjwknY/how-to-do-theoretical-research-a-personal-perspective-1

YES