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Prediction markets for Intuit
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2026?
Jun 9, 9:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
20.8%chance
10319360
OptionVotes
1962
516
OptionProbability
100
90
88
75
40
39
35
35
34
27
24
23
21
20
17
17
15
14
11
10
10
3
If the hard problem of consciousness is solved, what will be true of it?
May 26, 9:53 AMJun 2, 9:59 PM
626841
OptionProbability
74
62
60
60
59
53
50
49
44
40
40
39
38
37
22
OptionVotes
3399
48
OptionVotes
1789
559
OptionProbability
40
34
26
26
24
24
23
22
21
21
20
17
17
17
17
16
15
15
14
14
14
11
11
10
9
8
7
6
Will AI systems and humans merge to create Cyborgs which are also the primary way that most humans live, this century?
Mar 24, 9:30 AMJan 1, 6:29 AM
59.37%chance
15591
OptionVotes
1123
765
Will we believe in 2050 that an instance of DeepSeek V3 run by 2025 possessed "consciousness"?
Nov 2, 11:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.54%chance
10274
OptionVotes
175
57
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