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UN Security Council Except U.S. Declares Gaza Famine Man-Made Crisis, Calls for Ceasefire and Aid Lift Amid Israeli Offensive
Authors
24
3 months ago
Prediction markets for IPC
Prediction markets for IPC
Will (global average) sea level rise by more than 1.1 meters (as predicted by the IPCC) by 2100 ?
Oct 16, 10:26 PM
Jan 1, 8:01 AM
9.49%
chance
9
1134
Option
Votes
YES
NO
417
65
What will the upper limit in the IPCC's ‘likely’ range of its climate sensitivity estimate be, in its 7th Assessment Report?
Mar 6, 2:38 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
714
Option
Probability
Other
4
4.5
3.5
5
3.9
3.8
49
26
16
6
1
1
1
AI equivalent of IPCC before 2027?
Jan 12, 9:21 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
29%
chance
5
97
Option
Votes
YES
NO
158
112
AI equivalent of IPCC before 2030?
Jan 12, 9:17 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
64.9%
chance
6
90
Option
Votes
NO
YES
176
95
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