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Prediction markets for IPS
Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
91.11%chance
33095892
OptionVotes
19375
4265
Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
53.98%chance
2668193
OptionVotes
6211
4254
[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?
Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.52%chance
9952878
OptionVotes
9485
3955
OptionVotes
10448
9571
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than OpenAI after both IPO?
Jan 31, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.26%chance
12139591
OptionVotes
15461
6143
Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?
Feb 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10217204
OptionProbability
47
34
33
33
29
28
28
25
24
23
23
23
23
22
20
19
18
18
17
17
17
16
14
14
14
13
12
11
11
9
5
3
Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026?
May 25, 4:58 PMJan 31, 10:59 PM
5.18%chance
344829
OptionVotes
786
56
Which franchise will FromSoftware’s next officially announced game belong to?
Apr 5, 1:51 PMDec 31, 1:37 PM
7191
OptionProbability
55
12
9
5
5
4
3
3
3
Will Warner Bros sell the Looney Tunes IP before 2029?
Mar 28, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.59%chance
9156
OptionVotes
175
57
OptionProbability
59
54
53
50
50
50
41
41
34
34
34
34
25
25
Will any DeSci DAO fund any IP which produces $10m of revenue by 2030
Aug 30, 8:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
53.22%chance
3101
OptionVotes
73
67
Will AI developed molecules or drugs be the dominant sources of new biopharma IP by Sep 5 2029?
Sep 5, 10:48 PMMay 4, 9:59 PM
73.75%chance
5100
OptionVotes
168
60