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6 months ago

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.27%chance

10001125410

OptionVotes

YES

11869

8835

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

56.47%chance

161342158

OptionVotes

YES

1140

878

Will the US strike Iran by the end of February?

Jan 29, 11:08 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

33.36%chance

31539936

OptionVotes

YES

755

282

Will Israel or the United States launch airstrikes against Iran before the next Israeli election?

Jan 5, 9:31 PMOct 28, 6:59 AM

69.8%chance

7515359

OptionVotes

YES

1521

658

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

30.02%chance

7514323

OptionVotes

YES

442

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Jan 11, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.81%chance

7113567

OptionVotes

YES

1005

997

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Feb 3, 3:21 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

27%chance

3013364

OptionVotes

YES

1644

608

Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2026?

Jul 7, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.29%chance

397272

OptionVotes

YES

1314

762

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026

Jan 13, 11:54 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

62.66%chance

466733

OptionVotes

YES

1296

772

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

23.45%chance

234421

OptionVotes

YES

2592

929

What will happen first in Iran?

Jan 6, 10:44 PMJan 7, 10:43 PM

13790

OptionProbability

US or Israel attacks Iran

Khamenei is out as Ayatollah

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

Jan 5, 5:29 AMDec 30, 9:59 PM

58.99%chance

11379

OptionVotes

YES

114

105

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Will the US strike Iran by the end of February?

Will Israel or the United States launch airstrikes against Iran before the next Israeli election?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2026?

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

What will happen first in Iran?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?

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