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9 months ago

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.01%chance

18802671482

OptionVotes

YES

22825

6142

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

36.28%chance

201368396

OptionVotes

YES

1326

755

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24148516

OptionProbability

Yes

Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?

Mar 3, 4:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.92%chance

20474034

OptionVotes

YES

1943

328

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24%chance

19155378

OptionVotes

YES

8691

3336

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

24.48%chance

9116327

OptionVotes

YES

485

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Jun 23, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.4%chance

7513578

OptionVotes

YES

5631

2836

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.89%chance

879459

OptionVotes

YES

7055

5411

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Jun 24, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.02%chance

437396

OptionVotes

YES

4356

230

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.11%chance

316999

OptionVotes

YES

2469

969

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

Mar 16, 5:30 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

58.44%chance

222580

OptionVotes

YES

2013

1883

Will the US and Iran jointly announce a nuclear framework agreement by June 30, 2026?

Apr 16, 5:41 PMJun 30, 10:00 PM

27%chance

191076

OptionVotes

YES

103

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?

Will the US and Iran jointly announce a nuclear framework agreement by June 30, 2026?

Latest stories

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