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1 year ago

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Dec 31, 12:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.69%chance

19933225715

OptionVotes

YES

67636

3358

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Dec 16, 2:35 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

23.13%chance

212377727

OptionVotes

YES

1824

549

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40208432

OptionProbability

Yes

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 5:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.18%chance

270128155

OptionVotes

YES

14392

2203

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Feb 28, 4:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

63%chance

8321826

OptionVotes

YES

1305

766

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Jan 5, 5:28 AMDec 27, 9:59 PM

28.96%chance

9416397

OptionVotes

YES

450

Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?

Feb 12, 6:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.43%chance

6316191

OptionVotes

YES

2435

411

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Jun 23, 3:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.54%chance

7513604

OptionVotes

YES

5637

2818

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Mar 13, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.04%chance

9311214

OptionVotes

YES

8325

4930

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Jun 24, 9:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

509589

OptionVotes

YES

5692

176

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Oct 8, 9:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.05%chance

317032

OptionVotes

YES

2473

968

Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?

May 10, 2:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Yes, Israel

Yes, Both U.S. and Israel

No, and the year is before 2030

Peak oil occurs 2030 or later

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Will Iran's regime fall in 2026?

Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?

Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027?

Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?

Will Iran's regime fall before end of 2027?

Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030?

Will Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?

Iran Obtains Nuclear Weapon by 2030? Conditional Trump Elected.

Will the U.S. or Israel be at war with Iran at any point during the year in which global peak oil is reached?

Latest stories

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