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Prediction markets for IRS
OptionVotes
11659
8923
OptionProbability
54
23
11
8
4
Will the IRS free file alternative (Direct File) be publicly available for filing 2025 federal taxes?
Dec 29, 4:58 PMApr 16, 3:59 AM
5.08%chance
162009
OptionVotes
543
27
Will FTX pay more in taxes to the IRS than it returns to creditors?
Dec 12, 9:15 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
8.59%chance
141876
OptionVotes
2190
733
Will AI be able to reach a human IRS representative before April 2026?
Feb 1, 4:35 PMApr 2, 6:59 AM
47.92%chance
111599
OptionVotes
1043
959
OptionVotes
1300
868
Will the IRS refer major Democratic donors for criminal prosecution by EoY 2026?
Oct 16, 6:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
5488
OptionVotes
173
58
How much will Microsoft be required to pay in back taxes as a result of their current IRS audit?
Oct 15, 8:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
9136
OptionProbability
33
30
17
15
3
3
If the IRS still exists in 2065, will my marginal tax rate be lower for 2064 than for 2024?
Dec 30, 6:27 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
80%chance
150
OptionVotes
100
25
OptionProbability
43
22
15
10
10
Will a new SEC / IRS rule cause CF secondary volume to decrease by ~50% by 2030?
Nov 2, 6:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.26%chance
438
OptionVotes
196
134
Will Sam Harris be audited by the IRS under Trump's 2nd term?
Nov 12, 4:04 PMJan 20, 10:59 PM
40.98%chance
320
OptionVotes
120
83




