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Prediction markets for ISO

Can quantum computer check isomorphism of graphs in the described way?

Sep 12, 5:09 PMDec 31, 6:59 PM

3%chance

103588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

951

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-Complete?

Nov 18, 6:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

7.11%chance

231255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1659

886

Is Graph Isomorphism in P?

Nov 18, 6:50 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

50.64%chance

19719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

729

What is the complexity theoretic status of P vs NP, ETH, and Graph Isomorphism?

Dec 8, 9:26 PMDec 16, 5:59 AM

4610

OptionProbability

ETH true, GI in P

ETH true, GI NP-intermediate

P != NP, ETH false, GI NP-intermediate

P != NP, ETH false, GI in P

P = NP

P != NP, ETH false, GI NP-complete

58

18

9

8

5

2

Is Graph Isomorphism NP-intermediate?

Feb 14, 1:01 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

44%chance

10348

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

161

When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?

Jan 9, 8:36 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

3297

OptionProbability

2061 or beyond or never

2040-2045

2035-2040

2045-2050

2050-2055

2055-2060

2030-2035

2024-2030

34

11

10

10

10

10

9

5

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Oct 14, 1:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.63%chance

14226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

978

Will Diablo V have a non-isomorphic camera?

Mar 21, 7:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8.5%chance

3154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

50

Will statement expressions become part of the official ISO C Standard before 2028?

Dec 19, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

32%chance

6138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

184

94

Joel Habener wins the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine before 2030 for isolating and characterizing GLP-1

Apr 11, 10:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.13%chance

7104

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Exit valuation of Isocode (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:38 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

125

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

55

15

15

15

By 2040, will compressors that are closer to isothermal than adiabatic be in widespread commercial use?

Aug 8, 8:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35%chance

221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

88

57

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