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Prediction markets for Kagan
Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
Oct 9, 3:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
638733
OptionProbability
40
35
9
6
4
3
2
1
1
0
OptionProbability
96
92
90
86
86
84
83
77
76
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74
72
71
67
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11
9
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8
6
6
5
5
3
2
1
1
OptionProbability
40
36
10
5
3
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
41
36
10
5
2
2
2
1
1
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Nov 10, 3:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
196705
OptionProbability
5
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
Apr 1, 3:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
194761
OptionProbability
99
96
44
32
29
14
6
3
1
OptionProbability
41
35
10
5
3
2
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
41
35
10
5
3
2
2
1
1
As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]
Nov 12, 12:07 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
163664
OptionProbability
93
93
91
91
91
87
83
57
45
OptionProbability
28
22
18
17
9
9
5
5
4
Who will be the next member of the Supreme Court to vacate the bench?
Dec 1, 9:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21750
OptionProbability
39
32
10
7
4
3
2
1
1
OptionVotes
264
70
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