LAB News

Reform Party Gains 22 Seats in 78 UK Council By-Elections as Labour Loses 16 and Conservatives Lose 6

29 days ago

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

Apr 9, 1:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.25%chance

183266085

OptionVotes

YES

17639

7122

What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?

Aug 26, 1:33 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

326102007

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Google Deepmind

Anthropic

Will my startup Retis Labs become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.41%chance

4350042

OptionVotes

YES

20781

8355

Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?

Sep 20, 1:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

6.95%chance

16049732

OptionVotes

YES

9883

2067

Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2035?

Jun 2, 10:31 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

45.55%chance

14617629

OptionVotes

YES

10157

9791

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

Jul 15, 7:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.28%chance

8911284

OptionVotes

YES

3759

339

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

174409

Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?

May 20, 2:41 PMJan 8, 7:59 AM

44.8%chance

302531

OptionVotes

YES

1110

901

If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?

Dec 30, 11:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

181453

OptionProbability

UNC

Fort Detrick

Wuhan Institute of Virology, Wuchang campus

Wuhan CDC

Wuhan Institute of Virology, Jiangxia campus

Huazhong Agricultural University in Wuhan

Other

Wuhan University

VECTOR lab in Russia

Canadian National Microbiology Lab in Winnipeg, Manitoba

Wuhan Institute of Biological Products

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Apr 5, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.87%chance

331384

OptionVotes

YES

2200

1771

Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?

Aug 27, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.05%chance

291018

OptionVotes

YES

1059

813

If SB 1047 is not passed and an AI tool causes $500mn of damages, will the respective AI lab pay over 10% in damages?

Sep 27, 10:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.64%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

1048

954

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Jul 4, 2025
Jul 4, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Reform Party Gains 22 Seats in 78 UK Council By-Elections as Labour Loses 16 and Conservatives Lose 6
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29 days ago

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Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?

Will my startup Retis Labs become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?

Will it be public knowledge by EOY 2025 that a major AI lab believed to have created AGI internally before October 2023?

Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2035?

Will xAI Reach Major Lab Status?

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?

If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?

Will McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?

If SB 1047 is not passed and an AI tool causes $500mn of damages, will the respective AI lab pay over 10% in damages?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram