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Prediction markets for Legal and Compliance
OptionVotes
3380
296
Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027
Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.39%chance
131949
OptionVotes
2439
410
Will any company be GDPR fined for inputting personally identifiable information into ChatGPT before 2030?
Feb 9, 2:04 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
60.48%chance
9235
OptionVotes
131
122
OptionVotes
269
37
Will Polymarket.com be fined by U.S. government regulatory agencies in 2026?
Dec 11, 9:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.49%chance
5170
OptionVotes
265
38
OptionVotes
260
38
Will Minimax-H3 become unavailable on HuggingFace in any state in the US before 2027?
Aug 5, 5:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.54%chance
7111
OptionVotes
156
17
OptionVotes
108
92
Will Croatia forcefully draft its citizens before 2060
Mar 11, 8:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
42.31%chance
355
OptionVotes
117
86
Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
Jul 16, 1:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100


