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6 months ago

What is the first number alphabetically?

Jan 12, 2:37 AMJan 1, 2:35 AM

5114226

OptionProbability

Other

A baker's dozen

@aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa 's age at birth

0 * A baker's dozen

A(4,2)

-(A baker's dozen)

Absolute infinity

"aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa".length

AAAAAAAA, as an eight digit hexadecimal number specifically

A billion

-Eight

's " " amount

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1

Apery's constant

"aabomycin" "A"-amount

Aaaron Davis' Age At Birth

A=0

AAAA (Amateur Athletic Association of America) "A"-amount

"aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa".len

aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa*0

0a0a0a0a0a0a0a0a0

234

aught

Eight billion

Aleph eight

Eight

Avogadro's number

-1

-0

A digit

Aaron Burr's Age At Birth

What

Archimedes' constant

Accumulator

Abscissa

zero

A nullion

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Feb 24, 4:35 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

489146

OptionProbability

Hal Finney

Paul Le Roux

Nick Szabo

Adam Back

Len Sassaman

Dorian Nakamoto

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Jul 8, 10:15 PMApr 6, 6:59 AM

738282

OptionProbability

Other

Hal Finney

Nick Szabo

Len Sassaman

Peter Todd

Jack Dorsey

Steve Sokolowski

Adam Back

Dorian Nakamoto

An Intelligence Agency

Curtis Yarvin

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Elon Musk

Vitalik Buterin

Craig Wright

Wei Dai

[INVALID]

Sinclair Chen

Satoshi Nakamoto

@Mira

[Invalid]

@jim

Will a useful contact lens display be commercially available by 2030

Dec 22, 5:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.69%chance

311200

OptionVotes

YES

1338

782

Will Nine Inch Nails ever release another full-length studio album?

Oct 2, 12:04 PMDec 31, 10:38 AM

63.38%chance

7540

OptionVotes

YES

1315

760

Solar gravitational lens mission launched by 2035?

Dec 8, 10:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.98%chance

14376

OptionVotes

YES

1169

927

If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?

Oct 10, 10:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12236

OptionProbability

Other

Nick Szabo

Hal Finney

Dorian Nakamoto

Len Sassaman

Wei Dai

Adam Back

Paul Le Roux

Multiple People

Craig Wright

Before 2029, will OpenAI provide API access to a frontier LLM with 100,000,000+ context length?

Aug 12, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.02%chance

3192

OptionVotes

YES

1020

981

Solar gravitational lens at 542 AU to image exoplanets by EOY 2055?

Mar 31, 5:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.98%chance

3103

OptionVotes

YES

224

Will a Terrascope (a space telescope that uses a planet's atmosphere as a giant lens) launch and successfully perform observations by the end of 2042?

Sep 7, 11:57 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

27.59%chance

471

OptionVotes

YES

162

Which of these NIAC Phase III missions will be executed before 2100?

Sep 9, 4:29 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

418

OptionProbability

Robotic Technologies Enabling the Exploration of Lunar Pits

Direct Multipixel Imaging and Spectroscopy of an Exoplanet with a Solar Gravitational Lens Mission

Diffractive Solar Sailing

Cube-Sat Space Flight Test of a Neutrino Detector

Mini Bee Prototype to Demonstrate the Apis Mission Architecture and Optical Mining Technology

None of the above

LENNY - $LEN

Jun 17, 8:32 PM

OptionProbability

YES

100

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What is the first number alphabetically?

Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?

Who is Satoshi Nakamoto

Will a useful contact lens display be commercially available by 2030

Will Nine Inch Nails ever release another full-length studio album?

Solar gravitational lens mission launched by 2035?

If the identity of Satoshi is ever definitively proven, who will it be?

Before 2029, will OpenAI provide API access to a frontier LLM with 100,000,000+ context length?

Solar gravitational lens at 542 AU to image exoplanets by EOY 2055?

Will a Terrascope (a space telescope that uses a planet's atmosphere as a giant lens) launch and successfully perform observations by the end of 2042?

Which of these NIAC Phase III missions will be executed before 2100?

LENNY - $LEN

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