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Prediction markets for LG
What proportion of John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
Jun 18, 1:58 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
24.58%chance
4965814
OptionVotes
972
970
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
Jan 23, 12:36 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
222936
OptionProbability
99
99
99
92
49
42
34
31
31
30
29
20
14
7
6
Will John von Neumann clones aged 20 or older be more likely to identify as LGBTQ+ than the general population?
Sep 18, 5:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
37.81%chance
152751
OptionVotes
1156
793
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
Oct 6, 7:32 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM
30.52%chance
321505
OptionVotes
1376
774
Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2030?
Jan 23, 12:39 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
191124
OptionProbability
98
96
92
78
72
67
59
57
56
40
38
36
34
20
10
Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?
Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49.13%chance
181101
OptionVotes
1191
714
Trump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028
Nov 15, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.69%chance
131039
OptionVotes
511
20
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded by 2026?
Dec 29, 7:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.45%chance
291001
OptionVotes
1079
904
What proportion of Ted Kaczynski clones aged 20 or older will identify as LGBTQ+?
Dec 9, 8:28 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
47.09%chance
5500
OptionVotes
1060
943
Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?
Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17296
OptionProbability
22
13
12
12
12
9
6
4
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
41
30
29
OptionVotes
70
36
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