OptionProbability
Green
Your Party (new far left party)
Labour
Reform
Lib Dems
Conservative
79
70
59
51
50
25
Soft electoral pact: parties do not actively campaign in seats where the other stands a strong chance of success
The parties have issued a joint press statement
Hard electoral pact: parties do not stand against each other in seats they contest
The parties have merged into one
45
43
17
5
Reform UK
SNP
SDLP
Plaid Cymru
Conservatives
UUP
Greens
Lib Dem
Sinn Fein
DUP
93
73
62
53
46
40
20
3
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