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Prediction markets for LIB
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term?
Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM
68.58%chance
19737211
OptionVotes
1139
967
Will Trump actually nominate a Libertarian to his Cabinet if elected?
Jun 2, 7:42 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM
24.86%chance
547116
OptionVotes
1739
575
Which UK parties will outperform among 16-17 year olds in the next general election?
Jul 17, 7:39 PMAug 30, 7:38 PM
223527
OptionProbability
79
70
59
58
42
25
Will Chaya Raichik (Libs of TikTok) be found guilty in a US court of law by the end of 2030?
Feb 22, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.4%chance
392317
OptionVotes
1804
718
OptionProbability
79
11
7
2
1
EA will have a noticeably less sexually libertine culture in 2025 for the 90th percentile EA, than before 2023, looking back.
Mar 1, 6:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
59.26%chance
341121
OptionVotes
1241
783
Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?
Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
58.44%chance
191114
OptionVotes
1186
843
Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM
29.24%chance
151074
OptionVotes
1556
643
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Jul 7, 4:21 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17590
OptionProbability
93
93
73
62
53
51
46
40
20
17
3
Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
60.76%chance
6433
OptionVotes
1244
804
OptionVotes
1239
807
OptionVotes
1146
872