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Prediction markets for Lilly
What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
230123790
OptionProbability
20
13
11
11
11
10
9
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Who will be cast in the live-action Legend of Zelda movie, as what role?
Nov 8, 6:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5322067
OptionProbability
99
99
97
22
17
16
13
12
9
9
8
7
5
5
5
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?
Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6219845
OptionProbability
16
13
12
11
10
8
7
7
5
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 3:42 PMDec 1, 12:00 AM
3216476
OptionProbability
99
99
99
99
99
95
90
68
62
57
51
46
11
9
7
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
Dec 29, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3516254
OptionProbability
99
97
93
92
91
88
88
87
84
83
81
79
75
75
72
59
49
48
43
41
40
39
39
39
38
38
37
36
34
31
30
28
26
24
23
23
20
20
18
12
10
9
9
9
8
7
7
6
6
3
Which company will be among the top 5 publicly traded companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2030?
Mar 1, 7:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
379181
OptionProbability
94
89
84
73
40
37
30
28
26
17
13
11
7
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
42
9
8
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
95
94
93
92
91
90
90
89
89
89
89
88
88
86
84
84
84
83
83
82
82
81
81
81
79
78
78
78
78
78
78
76
76
75
75
73
72
72
72
70
70
69
69
69
68
66
66
65
65
62
59
52
50
50
48
46
45
41
41
41
37
37
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
32
32
31
27
24
24
23
17
10
10
8
5
OptionProbability
22
14
11
11
11
9
8
7
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
13
8
7
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
Will David A. Ricks (CEO of Eli Lilly) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 29, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.47%chance
5191
OptionVotes
272
92
Outcomes of Eli Lilly's attempt to get retatrutide classified as a biologic vs. a regular drug?
Oct 24, 1:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
341
OptionProbability
50
50
50
41
41