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Prediction markets for Lula
OptionProbability
29
20
16
16
5
5
4
3
2
1
🇧🇷 2026: winner is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado vence
Sep 24, 9:28 AMJan 16, 7:59 PM
45.03%chance
4711308
OptionVotes
43273
34126
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jun 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
35.17%chance
353820
OptionVotes
1465
376
OptionVotes
1192
946
OptionVotes
430
125
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jan 9, 5:15 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
63.55%chance
241880
OptionVotes
1085
773
Will Lula be a key actor in the peace between Ukraine and Russia?
Feb 23, 5:28 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
4.98%chance
161505
OptionVotes
2046
896
During a 4 month period, will Lula score a 55%+ approval rating by 2 or more major pooling outlets during his current term?
Feb 1, 1:02 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
73.52%chance
101487
OptionVotes
200
87
Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?
Nov 12, 5:42 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
43.36%chance
151318
OptionVotes
1072
880
OptionVotes
1875
533
By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
Feb 1, 12:52 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
56.96%chance
11970
OptionVotes
1205
805
Will Brazilian President Lula da Silva say or do anything controversial in August?
Jul 30, 4:37 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM
65.68%chance
9149
OptionVotes
138
72
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