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Prediction markets for Mainland China
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
74
66
66
60
60
54
50
49
43
35
34
33
31
27
26
23
21
20
5
3
1
OptionProbability
99
94
93
88
85
76
67
50
46
34
34
34
30
17
14
By 2063, will the Republic of China annex any territory in the mainland?
Mar 29, 2:30 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
19%chance
211509
OptionVotes
1523
819
OptionVotes
899
187
Which country will be the first to have a transgender head of state or government?
Mar 18, 5:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16477
OptionProbability
22
11
9
8
7
7
6
5
4
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
Will Trump make a statement supporting mainland China over Taiwan during his term?
Feb 23, 1:05 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
37%chance
14348
OptionVotes
130
77
Will mainland China have more than one time zone? By mid 2037
Jan 10, 8:07 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
21.41%chance
9202
OptionVotes
265
96
Will Blizzard games still be legally available in Mainland China at the end of 2030?
Apr 10, 4:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
75%chance
12199
OptionVotes
1159
921
Bridge built connecting Hainan to mainland China through 2040
Aug 28, 2:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
42.04%chance
7107
OptionVotes
151
146
Will Taylor Swift perform a concert in mainland China before 2028?
Feb 15, 1:24 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
21.76%chance
685
OptionVotes
235
111
Will a crossing of the Qiongzhou Strait, between Mainland China and Hainan, have started construction by 2035?
Jul 4, 9:00 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
51.09%chance
548
OptionVotes
92
88
Will China invade Taiwan directly or will they apply a salami tactic and only take over small islands near the Mainland?
Aug 16, 11:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61.28%chance
430
OptionVotes
127
97
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