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Prediction markets for Marathon
When will someone run a marathon under 2:00 hours at an officially sanctioned race?
Nov 13, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.33%chance
287564
OptionProbability
1657
359
OptionProbability
32
24
22
18
1
1
1
1
Will a legal sub two-hour marathon be run before December 31, 2025.
Nov 13, 12:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8.65%chance
243683
OptionVotes
3209
317
Will someone run a marathon wearing an Apple Vision Pro?
Feb 11, 5:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
8.02%chance
272842
OptionVotes
3008
589
Will humans run a two hour marathon before humanoid robots?
Apr 19, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
49.52%chance
321958
OptionVotes
1010
990
Will Taylor Swift get married before a swift human breaks the 2h00m00s official marathon barrier?
Jan 12, 11:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
58.12%chance
371911
OptionVotes
1994
1977
Will a human run a marathon under 2 hours before the Russia-Ukraine war ends
Mar 29, 9:40 PMDec 6, 4:59 AM
35.43%chance
221455
OptionVotes
1250
775
Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?
Apr 19, 12:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25%chance
28816
OptionVotes
173
58
Will a bipedal robot run a marathon in under 3 hours before a human runs a marathon in under 2 hours
Apr 2, 7:40 PMApr 10, 3:59 AM
40.01%chance
10565
OptionVotes
220
207
Will Marathon (Bungie's new game) release before the Legend of Zelda Movie (Nintendo)?
Dec 26, 2:58 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
34.63%chance
12200
OptionVotes
1049
958
Will a human win the annual 2026 Human vs Horse "Marathon" Race?
Jun 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56%chance
571
OptionVotes
113
89
Will the Barkley Marathons still be run in something like its current form in the year 2033?
May 2, 5:55 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
57.41%chance
532
OptionVotes
94
86
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