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Prediction markets for Mastodon
Which Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Oct 3, 1:15 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
10323328
OptionProbability
79
15
5
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
72
23
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?
Nov 25, 9:28 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18%chance
331723
OptionVotes
999
822
What will the dominant social media protocol be at the end of 2028?
Apr 29, 6:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
361697
OptionProbability
85
7
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What will the dominant microblogging platform be at the end of 2028 (X, Threads, Bluesky, etc) ? [ READ DESCRIPTION ]
Aug 10, 3:49 AMJun 2, 3:59 AM
231646
OptionProbability
36
30
21
6
3
3
2
On which platform will RulesGuru have the most followers at the end of 2025?
Jul 31, 8:43 AMJan 1, 6:53 PM
8647
OptionProbability
95
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Will Eugen Rochko (creator of Mastodon) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Dec 21, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.71%chance
10419
OptionVotes
1191
957
Will Tumblr be fediblocked by a majority of the top 10 Mastodon instances by MAU, 6 months after implementation?
Dec 8, 8:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29.1%chance
18356
OptionVotes
1167
911
What will be the number of monthly active accounts on Mastodon on 2027-10-01
Oct 2, 8:12 AMOct 2, 11:59 PM
3334
OptionProbability
98
92
61
24
10
Mastodon will be more than 1% as big as Twitter in 2030
Apr 11, 3:31 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
47.44%chance
12280
OptionVotes
1019
977
Best General, Not Necessarily Research-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)
Apr 4, 3:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
6173
OptionProbability
56
35
4
3
2
OptionProbability
29
19
19
14
9
5
2
2
2


