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Prediction markets for Mets

Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?

Feb 12, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

364602

OptionProbability

United States

Poland

Finland

United Kingdom

Estonia

Latvia

Montenegro

Netherlands

Greece

Germany

Sweden

Denmark

France

Lithuania

Bulgaria

Romania

Albania

Czechia

Turkey

Italy

Spain

Slovenia

Canada

99

99

99

98

97

96

95

93

93

92

92

90

89

88

88

87

84

77

60

59

54

50

49

Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?

Jan 28, 4:09 PMJan 16, 4:59 AM

61.64%chance

482387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5267

1567

Mets, Yankees, or Red Sox switch leagues in baseball before 2028

Jul 4, 2:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

4.57%chance

142271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2900

809

Will the Global Methane Pledge be met?

Feb 3, 9:50 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

16.13%chance

211805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1554

800

Will AGI lead to a utopia where all of people's needs and most of their wants are met, or to power concentration?

Dec 18, 8:10 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

481436

OptionProbability

Utopia

Concentration of power in the hands of few.

Other

59

31

9

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Sep 22, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.84%chance

191189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1547

843

Across, 2025 will a majority of EA funding rounds have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met?

Sep 22, 11:29 PMSep 30, 3:59 AM

13.59%chance

14815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1644

830

Will the Mets team change ownership by mid 2027

Jan 3, 10:57 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

34.14%chance

7609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1389

720

Will Steve Cohen still own the Mets on July 1 2029?

Jul 3, 6:52 PMJul 4, 6:59 AM

79.37%chance

5251

OptionVotes

NO

YES

129

90

Will a rookie play 100+ games for the Mets in 2025?

Mar 6, 4:07 AMSep 29, 3:59 AM

30.77%chance

2190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Which New York Mets player will have the highest OPS in the 2025 regular season (minimum 300 plate appearances)?

Mar 6, 4:16 AMSep 29, 3:59 AM

3130

OptionProbability

Juan Soto

Pete Alonso

Francisco Lindor

Brandon Nimmo

Other

48

43

3

3

3

You find the conditions for a market to resolve have been met, but the creator isn't aware of it yet, what do you do?

Jan 29, 11:19 AM

260

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