OptionVotes
YES
NO
2535
1094
2384
1947
1873
534
1205
830
474
64
OptionProbability
Exponential (similar to 2020 to 2026), indicates some proto-AGI likely in that timeframe
Other
Hyperexponential (indicates push for ASI and some real self improvement loop) singularity / intelligence explosion
Linear (some level of saturation, no AGI imminent)
33
25
8
Get the latest stories live on any device.
Top Stories
