OptionProbability
Democrats
Republicans
Independents
50
0
Kendall Qualls
Lisa Demuth
Mike Lindell
Scott Jensen
Phil Parrish
Kristin Robbins
Patrick Knight
Other
47
38
8
3
1
He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.
He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.
He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.
He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.
He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.
He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.
63
16
9
4
2
Amy Klobuchar (DFL)
Lisa Demuth (R)
Mike Lindell (R)
Steve Simon (DFL)
Jesse Ventura (Independent)
Bill Gates Jr. (DFL)
Kelly Morrison (DFL)
Erin Murphy (DFL)
Keith Ellison (DFL)
Scott Jensen (R)
Kristin Robbins (R)
Brad Kohler (R)
Kendall Qualls (R)
Jeff Johnson (R)
Chris Madel (R)
Phillip Parrish (R)
Tim Pawlenty (R)
Tom Emmer (R)
Pete Stauber (R)
Mike Newcome (Independent)
86
OptionVotes
NO
YES
201
88
148
68
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