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YES

YES

YES

Understands existential risk from AI.

Likes finding out that she is wrong about stuff.

Is insatiably curious.

Wants to help organize an 8 billion person online intellectual orgy by integrating surveys into decision markets in a way that allows sovereign individuals to mint their own nonfungible assets by interpretably defining alignment criteria.

Open minded enough to go to contact in the dessert.

Is super into taboo philosophy.

Wants to have kids and teach AI how to tolerate them.

Wants to live in Austin, TX.

Likes to attend Lessonline and Manifest.

Likes to go to burning man.

Wants to visit and explore a wide array of decentralized city projects (Zuzula, Cabin, etc).

Open to moral sexual deviance and drug use.

Works in AI.

Likes to listen to Danny Jones and Jesse Michels.

Is into esoteric history.

Likes to be submissive.

Is a global skeptic that only believes what she can prove.

Likes to adopt dogs that need rescued.

She is obsessed with mapping the logical connective structure of ever interpretable proposition that is definable.

Is ambitious enough to try to control the world.

Will be less than 90% confident that 'there isn't an ontologically shocking explanation to the UFO phenomenon'.

Likes to attend philosophy conferences and talk about Kant, Hume, Wittgenstein and Diogenes.

Like to meditate twice a day.

Prefers a primarily meat based diet.

Works at Society Library.

Is familiar with gofai (specifically Danny Hillis and Doug Lenat's work).

Thinks decision markets are the key to sovereignty.

She will be @JamieJoyce.

Wants to study at Network School.

Likes >2hr of rigorous exercise per day.

She will be @Aella.

Can survive in the woods.

Voted for RFK Jr.

Wants to have kids

Believes abortion is ethically acceptable

Has a net worth of more than 1 million dollars

Has been to burning man

Lives in the United States

Is a libertarian

Works for an AI company

Has done DMT

Prefers summer over winter

Is a gun owner

Likes being in nature

Likes roller-coasters

Grew up in a stable family

Is agnostic

Meditates regularly

Is atheist

Is a vegetarian

Is a materialist (in the philosophical sense)

Lives in California

Has been a guest on Curt Jaimungal's podcast.

Has been a guest on the bankless podcast.

Has been a guest on the network state podcast.

Has been a guest on the American Alchemy podcast.

Has been a guest on the Danny Jones podcast.

Has attended Manifest

Will believe that ants are sentient and experience qualia

Believes Deontology is a better ethical theory than either Utilitarianism or Nicomachean ethics

Wants to help organize an 8 billion person online intellectual orgy by integrating surveys into decision markets in a way that allows sovereign individuals to mint their own nonfungible assets by interpretably defining alignment criteria.

Has been a guest on Lex Fridman's podcast.

Has a Manifold account with over 10k mana profit

Is a Democrat

Has a podcast

Is under 40 years old

Believes the death penalty is ethically acceptable

Is a veteran

Already knows her personally as of August 2025

Rides a motorcycle

Drinks more than once a week on average

Has been a guest on the cognitive revolution podcast.

Has been a guest on Live Boeree's podcast.

Has been a guest on Dwarkesh's podcast.

Is taller than 6' 3"

Has had kids with someone else

Has a pilot's license

Is a member of a network state community

Has a PHD

Is a vegan

Has blackbelt in a martial art

Wants to live primarily in Austin, TX

Smokes

Knows how to solve the alignment problem

Has a net worth of more than 100 million dollars

Is @Krantz

By Jan 1, 2028

By Jan 1, 2035

By Jan 1, 2040

By Jan 1, 2027

By Jan 1, 2030

By Jan 1, 2029

By Jan 1, 2026

YES

I'm serious about my other predictions.

Humanity should pivot from (converting oil into artificial intelligence capabilities) to (converting mechanistically interpretable human cognitive labor into decentralized constitutional parameters for guiding collective intelligence).

It would be helpful if every important thought leader had a prediction similar to this to formalize their positions on complicated issues.

Aligning AI is a job everyone should have the right to earn a living by doing.

I am trying to pay you to help me map my beliefs.

I'm trying to get people to help me write the constitution of truth for AI.

This is Krantz data.

Krantz data is money.

I believe everybody doing this is the solution to alignment.

We could turn X into a machine that allows us to print our own crypto by doing philosophy and arguing about literally everything.

I am challenging all the analytic philosophers on Manifold to an argument about whatever topic they choose.

The main thing we need to do to solve alignment and game theoretic peace is to get all the important philosophers in the world to start talking in analytic English instead of continental English, so we can map our language properly.

Wiggenstien was right the first time and everyone's personal truth is compatible.

Financial and physical oppression and war are side effects of not being able to communicate effectively.

If we simply allowed every real person to securely evaluate every interpretable fact and treated that data as money, all other problems could be solved instrumentally using that process.

If the X platform was used primarily as a decentralized mechanism for minting Krantz data, kids could earn a retirement before the age of 23 by getting a sovereign education independently.

If Americans had the right to express their support (or opposition) for each proposition of the constitution (both securely and publicly in a way that can be operated on), we wouldn't need politicians.

If all humans had the right to vote on the constitution that controls AI, AI would be decentrally controlled by a market of opinions.

If humans could print their own money by voting on propositions that control AI, education would be economically accelerated several orders of magnitude.

The solution to aligning ASI is really simple.

Krantz has the most important message to give to society. https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-person-had-the-most-important?r=S3JhbnR6

YES

YES

2026

2031 vagy később

2025

2027

2029

2030

2028

A Living President

An Eagle

None of the above

Lady Liberty, Columbia, etc.

An animal other than an Eagle

A Dead President

Female person other than Lady Liberty/Columbia/etc