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Prediction markets for Mistral
If an AI system is responsible for the deaths of >= 5000 Americans by eoy 2027, which AI company would be most to blame?
Jan 21, 5:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8616676
OptionProbability
16
16
15
14
11
10
7
6
4
1
1
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Nov 27, 9:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
144373
OptionProbability
100
100
70
33
11
8
5
2
1
1
Who will release the first model to be credibly accused of being responsible for at least 100 deaths?
Sep 30, 4:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
292966
OptionProbability
42
19
9
8
5
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?
Aug 6, 12:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
85%chance
171683
OptionVotes
2380
420
Which company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Jan 5, 8:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
241117
OptionProbability
64
10
9
5
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
79
70
64
34
34
34
31
25
18
OptionVotes
212
97
Will Mistral AI release a model named "le chaton fat" by EOY 2026
Jun 16, 2:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.74%chance
490
OptionVotes
133
98
Which LLM Maker will hold the top Safety Score for Spiral-Bench on https://eqbench.com/spiral-bench.html on Jan1, 2027?
Jan 6, 7:30 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
160
OptionProbability
34
31
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
At the end of 2026 will there be any European model that ranks higher than Mistral Medium 3.5 on arena.ai agent arena?
Sep 1, 7:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.52%chance
348
OptionVotes
105
95
Will Mistral AI and/or its investors sue Juan Branco for Defamation in 2026
Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32%chance
148
OptionVotes
146
69