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Prediction markets for Mistral
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Sep 16, 9:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
76166191
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
93
89
21
12
8
5
4
3
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
35
32
14
7
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Mar 20, 1:36 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12278731
OptionProbability
41
29
10
10
8
1
0
Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰
Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2744804
OptionProbability
32
32
30
27
26
25
25
25
24
24
24
23
18
16
15
13
11
5
5
5
3
Binding agreement of acquisition or merger between Apple and AI company before Q3 2026
Aug 2, 4:38 AMJul 1, 11:59 PM
3228064
OptionProbability
31
19
17
13
8
7
Will Mistral-Large be considered on par or better than GPT-5? (text)
Jan 12, 11:16 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM
3.87%chance
191262
OptionVotes
2081
891
OptionProbability
50
36
5
5
3
Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?
Aug 6, 12:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
72.42%chance
9635
OptionVotes
1620
617
OptionVotes
1407
711
Will "BavariaGPT" be published and perform on par with Mistral 7B by 2025?
Feb 11, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
9.19%chance
8344
OptionVotes
436
155
OptionVotes
171
116
Will Mistral's next model make it to the top 10 models in LLM Arena by the end of 2025?
Sep 20, 7:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
44.88%chance
430
OptionVotes
111
90
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