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Prediction markets for MIT
OptionVotes
452
22
Will a team consisting primarily of ML models complete MIT Mystery Hunt by 2030?
Jan 2, 7:09 AMJan 29, 7:59 AM
29.46%chance
3021098
OptionVotes
1074
582
OptionVotes
1524
656
OptionVotes
2860
350
Richard Yang sells out to computer science at MIT by end of April 2026?
May 10, 2:17 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM
40.34%chance
192085
OptionVotes
1287
1187
OptionVotes
2039
491
OptionVotes
1808
401
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will AI be blamed for ≥1,000 deaths by end of 2035?
Dec 4, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.62%chance
7955
OptionVotes
1715
583
Professor to administrator ratio increases at MIT, Yale, Harvard 2023-2033
Oct 7, 6:41 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
17.2%chance
14876
OptionVotes
1243
913
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60%chance
5805
OptionVotes
1225
816
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?
Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.14%chance
4750
OptionVotes
1650
606
OptionVotes
995
960




