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Prediction markets for MK

Which phone brand will win MKBHD's Phone of the Year Award 2025?

Feb 7, 12:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

149284

OptionProbability

Google

Samsung

Apple

Oneplus

Vivo

Other

Xiaomi

Oppo

25

21

13

13

8

8

6

5

Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Feb 12, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.42%chance

141349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1906

525

Tesla delivers Robotaxi before 2027 and MKBHD shaves head?

Jun 28, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.7%chance

81027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1746

573

Will Mkgoose go on a date with Aella before April of 2028?

Mar 14, 11:01 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

15.76%chance

15905

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1074

966

Was JFK assassinated by U.S. intelligence services? (Resolves MKT in 10 years)

Jan 24, 6:31 PMJan 24, 6:31 PM

31.22%chance

10422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

171

Who will win the 2025 GeoGuessr World Championship?

Jul 7, 2:44 AMAug 31, 12:05 AM

5184

OptionProbability

Blinky

Radu

Consus

Debre

mk

Other

Moo

Shiina

Kapten

Eamonn

Strefan

Clement

Lennli

Jamabi

leero

Finbarr

Danish Wildcard winner

23

14

10

9

8

6

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

Google stays in the top 10 mkr cap companies through mid 2029 if and only if it has a layoff of at least 20%

Aug 24, 1:11 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

43.11%chance

4152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

870

When will MKBHD review a product worse than Humane AI pin?

May 1, 8:45 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

5110

OptionProbability

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

Before 2025

73

68

66

31

0

Will Marques Brownlee (MKBHD) release a review of Avi Schiffman's Friend AI device before the end of June 2026?

Jun 30, 11:59 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

36%chance

583

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

when will mkissinger be active again in lilypad?

Jan 24, 3:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

150

OptionProbability

Other

january

february

march

april

may

june

july

august

74

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

3

Will the Hermeus Quarterhorse Mk 2 test vehicle achieve autonomous supersonic flight?

Mar 30, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

116

Will the Hermeus Quarterhorse Mk 3 test vehicle become the world's fastest aircraft?

Mar 30, 10:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

116

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