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Prediction markets for MSFT
Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Sep 23, 4:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21.06%chance
4418249
OptionVotes
19828
4806
Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
Dec 29, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3516254
OptionProbability
99
97
93
92
91
88
88
87
84
83
81
79
75
75
72
59
49
48
43
41
40
39
39
39
38
38
37
36
34
31
30
28
26
24
23
23
20
20
18
12
10
9
9
9
8
7
7
6
6
3
If US Real GDP reaches 130% of prior years by 2035, which of these stocks will have the highest total return?
Nov 3, 5:53 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM
115678
OptionProbability
35
10
9
7
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
Which investment will give the best return 1 year after Jan 1st 2026?
Nov 16, 7:53 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM
182204
OptionProbability
26
11
9
8
8
8
5
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?
Feb 27, 3:47 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
10902
OptionProbability
31
26
18
15
OptionProbability
31
15
12
12
12
10
7
OptionProbability
159
121
OptionVotes
306
33
In exactly two years, will two shares of Applied Micro Devices (AMD) be worth more than one share of Microsoft (MSFT)?
Mar 10, 3:03 PMMar 10, 3:03 PM
79%chance
5321
OptionVotes
194
52
OptionVotes
200
50
Will MSFT own >3% of OpenAI's Public Benefit Corp at EOY 2026?
Sep 23, 9:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.51%chance
877
OptionVotes
141
71
OptionVotes
74
66
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