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Prediction markets for Nation Africa
Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.05%chance
145589
OptionVotes
7177
3289
Will Mike Waltz be confirmed as Ambassador to the United Nations?
May 6, 8:16 PMDec 31, 9:14 PM
86.04%chance
212273
OptionVotes
2482
403
OptionVotes
1053
914
OptionProbability
64
37
25
25
20
20
7
5
5
5
5
Additional withdrawal notifications to the Rome Statute of the International Criminal Court before the end of the decade
May 10, 2:36 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
1.95%chance
5233
OptionProbability
491
409
Will an African nation or African company successfully land on the Moon before Jan 1st 2040?
Nov 27, 5:16 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
15.05%chance
12203
OptionVotes
1137
955
From which region will The Economist's "Country of the Year" for 2025 come?
Dec 22, 3:36 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
7176
OptionProbability
26
25
23
17
9
Will The National Museum of African American History and Culture still be in operation through EOY 2026?
Mar 28, 9:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
62.47%chance
6116
OptionVotes
129
78
[Subsidized] In which decade will the global human population rebound/decrease?
Jan 14, 12:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
490
OptionProbability
21
13
13
13
13
13
13
If/when a nation in each geopolitical sphere first/next becomes communist, will it be invaded within a year?
Jul 1, 7:44 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
353
OptionProbability
72
55
55
55
37
37
37
28
24
24
Will an African nation successfully win the bid process to host a Summer/Winter Olympics before EOY 2035?
Dec 3, 9:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46.54%chance
527
OptionVotes
116
104