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Top stories

Mexico's Conavi Opens Registration for 500,000 Homes with Infonavit Credit Program; 23 States Lead Price Growth Amid Housing Slowdown

Mexico's Conavi Opens Registration for 500,000 Homes with Infonavit Credit Program; 23 States Lead Price Growth Amid Housing Slowdown

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for National Housing Commission

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

Oct 18, 8:40 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM

1024967

OptionProbability

40-44

35-39

30-34

25-29

50+

<25

45-49

99

1

0

0

0

0

0

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

876

What Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be?

Jan 16, 11:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20857

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Independent

Other

Other

64

35

0

0

0

Which party or coalition will win the primary vote in the 2026 Victorian state election?

Jun 17, 3:18 AMNov 28, 11:59 PM

11835

OptionProbability

Liberal-National Coalition

Labor Party

One Nation

Other

71

19

9

1

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before Jan 20, 2031

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.41%chance

14649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1478

677

Will Gyanesh Kumar cease to be Chief Election Commissioner of India before 31 December 2026?

Oct 11, 7:57 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

14.73%chance

10620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

42

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

May 13, 10:41 AMJun 13, 10:41 AM

2456

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 20

95

94

69

64

62

59

39

Liberal+National primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election

Oct 28, 3:56 AMNov 28, 12:59 PM

2415

OptionProbability

35% or above

29 - 30.99999%

31 - 32.99999%

33 - 34.99999%

27 - 28.99999%

25 - 26.99999%

Below 25%

26

16

15

14

11

10

9

Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?

Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM

50.03%chance

12249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

49.43%chance

7213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

989

One Nation primary vote in the 2026 Victorian State election

Oct 28, 4:01 AMNov 28, 11:59 PM

496

OptionProbability

20 - 21.99999%

Below 20%

22 - 23.99999%

24 - 25.99999%

26 - 27.99999%

28 - 29.99999%

30% or above

28

18

15

12

10

9

8

Will Pauline Hanson become Australian prime minister before 2029?

Oct 16, 9:39 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

20%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

95

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