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Top stories

Mexico's Conavi Opens Registration for 500,000 Homes with Infonavit Credit Program; 23 States Lead Price Growth Amid Housing Slowdown

Mexico's Conavi Opens Registration for 500,000 Homes with Infonavit Credit Program; 23 States Lead Price Growth Amid Housing Slowdown

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for National Housing Commission

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1142

876

What Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be?

Jan 16, 11:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20839

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Independent

Other

Other

60

39

0

0

0

Will a Democratic president begin demolishing Trump’s White House ballroom before 2029

May 14, 7:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.3%chance

13619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1448

691

Which party or coalition will win the primary vote in the 2026 Victorian state election?

Jun 17, 3:18 AMNov 28, 11:59 PM

6613

OptionProbability

Liberal-National Coalition

Labor Party

One Nation

Other

55

29

15

2

How many seats will PHON win in the next federal election?

May 13, 10:41 AMJun 13, 10:41 AM

2456

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 2

Above 4

Above 6

Above 8

Above 10

Above 20

95

94

69

64

62

59

39

Will One Nation win more seats than the Liberals+Nationals+QLNP+CLP combined at the next Australian federal election?

Feb 2, 12:06 PMMay 19, 1:59 PM

50.03%chance

12249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

939

Will there be over 215 Republican seats after the midterm elections in the House of Representatives?

May 8, 6:35 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

18%chance

11149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

213

47

US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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