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Prediction markets for Nationals
Will the National Guard kill at least 10 protestors by end of 2026?
Apr 28, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:29 PM
7.65%chance
4646185
OptionVotes
34761
2880
OptionVotes
32021
3123
OpenAI will be nationalized or have the Defense Production Act applied to it by mid 2030
Jun 5, 3:33 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
30.97%chance
7023969
OptionVotes
14560
6972
Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?
Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.99%chance
5513610
OptionVotes
20519
7234
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?
Dec 9, 7:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
128484
OptionProbability
79
64
56
50
49
47
40
39
30
25
21
19
Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027
Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.07%chance
1298015
OptionVotes
1846
1470
What other companies and brands will the Trump administration nationally socialize?
Aug 24, 3:22 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
346089
OptionProbability
27
24
23
21
20
20
20
17
15
14
10
10
7
6
Will FIFA announce a new national team competition before 2026?
Dec 12, 7:12 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
17.31%chance
192434
OptionVotes
2613
598
Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?
Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.3%chance
41275
OptionVotes
255
39
Will a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
Feb 26, 7:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29.89%chance
361151
OptionVotes
2180
1894
Which country will next change its national electrical frequency after 2025?
Aug 22, 11:27 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25
Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?
Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
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