NEA News

Perplexity AI Valued at $18 Billion After $100 Million Funding, Revenue Hits $150M, Led by CEO Aravind Srinivas

16 days ago

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

8538513

OptionVotes

YES

987

956

Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?

Mar 23, 12:04 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.95%chance

218466

OptionVotes

YES

4931

204

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Apr 24, 2:46 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

27.33%chance

695805

OptionVotes

YES

2438

2205

Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?

Jul 4, 10:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60%chance

602925

OptionVotes

YES

1337

880

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Aug 7, 6:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.02%chance

432874

OptionVotes

YES

1185

945

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

Apr 24, 2:18 PMOct 17, 9:59 PM

8.14%chance

332089

OptionVotes

YES

2153

785

Does the CKM matrix violate unitarity (near the 0.1% level)?

Aug 29, 2:26 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

20.11%chance

241180

OptionVotes

YES

1075

954

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.33%chance

371122

OptionVotes

YES

1125

915

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

Jul 11, 3:56 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

46.24%chance

13393

OptionVotes

YES

1096

871

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Mar 30, 9:35 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

47.81%chance

16269

OptionVotes

YES

1023

968

Will an anime character modeled off of @repligate/janus be instantiated by nearcyan's Elysian labs by 2028

May 19, 11:30 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM

48.08%chance

4160

OptionVotes

YES

1039

962

Will "I am worried about near-term non-LLM AI devel..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 1, 2:15 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.97%chance

111

OptionVotes

YES

1011

935

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Perplexity AI Valued at $18 Billion After $100 Million Funding, Revenue Hits $150M, Led by CEO Aravind Srinivas
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Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2035?

Is there a vast complex of underground chambers and shafts extending nearly two kilometers under the pyramids?

Did the IDF bury hundreds of Palestinian civilians in mass graves near Nasser and Al-Shifa hospitals?

Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?

Will we have near-complete automation of the world economy before 2030?

Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?

Does the CKM matrix violate unitarity (near the 0.1% level)?

Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?

Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Will an anime character modeled off of @repligate/janus be instantiated by nearcyan's Elysian labs by 2028

Will "I am worried about near-term non-LLM AI devel..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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