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4 months ago

Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?

Nov 28, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3019658

OptionProbability

YES

Other

Only YES and NO are the main outcomes. All other options would not affect the main YES or NO outcomes.

Louvre robbers apprehended before US Government shutdown ends?

Oct 25, 8:41 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

98.89%chance

2914528

OptionVotes

YES

9448

106

Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?

Feb 10, 3:05 PMFeb 18, 4:59 AM

214439

OptionProbability

Shapiro is subpoenaed to testify before Congress, the FBI, or another agency of the Federal government

Shapiro is indicted by a grand jury

Shapiro is brought to trial

Shapiro is arrested

Shapiro is found guilty of involvement with the plot

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

Sep 3, 7:20 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

33.28%chance

202136

OptionVotes

YES

1416

706

AUTOMATION: Less than 100 police officers are employed by the New York Police Department by the end of 2026

Dec 6, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.47%chance

191542

OptionVotes

YES

1801

932

Next Player/Coach Arrested For Illegal GambLing

Oct 26, 3:49 PMDec 31, 4:46 PM

3194

OptionProbability

Malik Beasley

Rick Pitino

Michael Porter Jr

Ja Morant

LeBron James

Kevin Durant

Number of murders in New York increase >15% in 2026 compared to 2025

Nov 5, 7:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

122

Setagaya Family Murder Solved by EOY2030?

Jun 22, 4:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.66%chance

460

OptionVotes

YES

109

Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?

Nov 29, 12:58 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

240

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Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?

Louvre robbers apprehended before US Government shutdown ends?

Will PA Governor Josh Shapiro be arrested in connection with the Butler PA attempt to assassinate Trump?

Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?

AUTOMATION: Less than 100 police officers are employed by the New York Police Department by the end of 2026

Next Player/Coach Arrested For Illegal GambLing

Number of murders in New York increase >15% in 2026 compared to 2025

Setagaya Family Murder Solved by EOY2030?

Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?

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