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OpenAI Raises $8.3 Billion at $300 Billion Valuation Amid Revenue Surge

22 hours ago

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11 days ago

New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

Dec 28, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40639245

OptionProbability

The case will settle out of court

Other

The New York Times will win the lawsuit

OpenAI will win the lawsuit

🧑‍⚖️ Will The New York Times Win A Lawsuit Against OpenAI & Microsoft?

Dec 27, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.5%chance

6114821

OptionVotes

YES

1123

778

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 9:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

77.94%chance

769112

OptionVotes

YES

1332

984

Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

58.93%chance

494243

OptionVotes

YES

1068

911

Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?

Jul 27, 3:58 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5.31%chance

463582

OptionVotes

YES

2941

761

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.34%chance

242641

OptionVotes

YES

1331

913

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?

Dec 28, 2:40 PMMay 31, 7:00 AM

30.18%chance

612626

OptionVotes

YES

1035

967

Will the New York Times win a case against OpenAI/Microsoft before the end of 2025?

Dec 27, 2:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.36%chance

492213

OptionVotes

YES

1223

833

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

May 16, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.19%chance

251716

OptionVotes

YES

1253

654

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Sep 5, 7:19 PMNov 13, 7:59 AM

22.88%chance

71550

OptionVotes

YES

1836

545

Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?

Oct 26, 6:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.06%chance

7540

OptionVotes

YES

1361

735

Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?

Apr 8, 2:39 AMApr 8, 4:59 AM

7.89%chance

18280

OptionVotes

YES

1232

967

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New York Times vs. OpenAI: Will the NYT win the Copyright Lawsuit on any count?

🧑‍⚖️ Will The New York Times Win A Lawsuit Against OpenAI & Microsoft?

Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Will The New York Times win its copyright infringement suit against OpenAI and Microsoft?

Will the New York Times declare that there is definitive proof of non-Earth-originating life by 2030?

Will the New York Times create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the New York Times case against OpenAI and Microsoft go to Supreme court?

Will the New York Times win a case against OpenAI/Microsoft before the end of 2025?

Will at least five purely-AI-written books make it onto the New York Times fiction bestseller list before 2031?

Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?

Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?

Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?

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