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Top stories

Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open

Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open

Authors

29

1 year ago

Prediction markets for New Zealand

New Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)

May 25, 10:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

1824339

OptionProbability

National Party

Labour Party

Te Pati Maori

New Zealand First Party

Green Party

ACT New Zealand

Other

60

35

2

2

0

0

0

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

1721294

OptionProbability

Labour coalition

National coalition

No government formed

Other

52

43

3

2

Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?

Feb 26, 8:10 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

79.8%chance

223692

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1560

693

By 2030, will New Zealand 🇳🇿 have officially announced a name change for international relations to include Aotearoa?

Jul 31, 10:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

15.66%chance

202781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1715

770

Will New Zealand implement a carbon tax by 2027?

Oct 14, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

6.89%chance

232657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3314

529

Will New Zealand allow any nuclear bombs or nuclear reactors inside its territory before 2030?

Dec 12, 11:49 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

9.49%chance

282209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2837

553

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

337

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.79%chance

81263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1432

698

Will New Zealand change its flag by 2030?

Sep 10, 1:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

12.56%chance

241154

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1878

781

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?

Sep 10, 12:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

13.73%chance

15799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

894

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?

Aug 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

31.51%chance

13429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

966

Will New Zealand politics be significantly radicalised in 5 years?

Sep 11, 4:53 PMSep 11, 4:51 PM

40.51%chance

5310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

825

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Rugby
Sports
Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open
Authors
29
1 year ago

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