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Top stories

Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open

Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open

Authors

29

5 months ago

Prediction markets for New Zealand

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

812379

OptionProbability

National coalition

Labour coalition

No government formed

Other

50

40

6

5

By 2030, will New Zealand 🇳🇿 have officially announced a name change for international relations to include Aotearoa?

Jul 31, 10:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

16.22%chance

192731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1665

779

Will New Zealand allow any nuclear bombs or nuclear reactors inside its territory before 2030?

Dec 12, 11:49 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

9.73%chance

272159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2787

558

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

337

Will Trump express interest or try to acquire the Realm of New Zealand or part of it?

Jan 20, 7:20 PMJan 20, 12:00 PM

10.33%chance

92070

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1437

938

Will New Zealand implement a carbon tax by 2027?

Oct 14, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

9.48%chance

221957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2614

590

Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?

Oct 22, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

14.61%chance

201609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2058

606

Will New Zealand change its flag by 2030?

Sep 10, 1:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

13.39%chance

231054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1778

796

Will a crossing of the Cook Strait, between New Zealand's North and South Islands, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 5, 9:21 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

10.17%chance

181050

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1325

913

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?

Sep 10, 12:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

13.73%chance

15799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

894

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?

Aug 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

31.51%chance

13429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

966

Will New Zealand politics be significantly radicalised in 5 years?

Sep 11, 4:53 PMSep 11, 4:51 PM

40.51%chance

5310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

825

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Rugby
Sports
Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open
Authors
29
5 months ago

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