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Top stories

Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open

Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open

Authors

29

9 months ago

Prediction markets for New Zealand

What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?

Jan 2, 2:49 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM

1314539

OptionProbability

National coalition

Labour coalition

No government formed

Other

47

45

5

4

Will Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?

Feb 26, 8:10 AMNov 7, 10:59 AM

76%chance

213625

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1355

751

By 2030, will New Zealand 🇳🇿 have officially announced a name change for international relations to include Aotearoa?

Jul 31, 10:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

15.66%chance

202781

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1715

770

Will New Zealand implement a carbon tax by 2027?

Oct 14, 8:36 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

7.33%chance

232507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3164

540

Will New Zealand allow any nuclear bombs or nuclear reactors inside its territory before 2030?

Dec 12, 11:49 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

9.73%chance

272159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2787

558

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

337

Will there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?

Oct 22, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:00 AM

14.37%chance

211634

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2083

601

Will New Zealand change its flag by 2030?

Sep 10, 1:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

13.39%chance

231054

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1778

796

New Zealand Labour forms a government in 2026 without requiring support from Te Pāti Māori

Mar 21, 5:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.68%chance

6855

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1747

572

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?

Sep 10, 12:41 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

13.73%chance

15799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

894

Will New Zealand become a republic by 2100?

Aug 22, 10:06 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

31.51%chance

13429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1248

966

Will New Zealand politics be significantly radicalised in 5 years?

Sep 11, 4:53 PMSep 11, 4:51 PM

40.51%chance

5310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1212

825

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
Rugby
Sports
Argentina Upset All Blacks as Springboks Beat Wallabies, Rugby Championship Wide Open
Authors
29
9 months ago

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