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Prediction markets for NHS
OptionVotes
1698
811
OptionProbability
20
18
11
11
11
11
11
3
2
1
Will the aetiology of autism be determined by the end of 2026?
Aug 5, 3:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3.91%chance
221144
OptionVotes
1888
902
Will the UK NHS (National Health Service) be free at the point of use by 2035?
Jan 4, 11:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
75.13%chance
101099
OptionVotes
201
123
Will the UK NHS (National Health Service) be free at the point of use by 2030
Jan 4, 11:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
93.82%chance
10898
OptionVotes
568
100
In 2050, will the World Health Organization state that vaping is safer than cigarettes?
Oct 27, 1:09 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
6312
OptionProbability
70
10
6
5
5
3
Will NHS England's budget be under £100bn in 2030/31?
Dec 22, 11:03 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
11.71%chance
6212
OptionVotes
218
97
Will the UK require biometric ID (e.g. facial recognition or digital fingerprinting) for NHS access by 2030?
Jul 21, 10:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23.72%chance
5164
OptionVotes
179
56
Will NICE recommend randomisation as standard care for any condition
Jan 1, 10:36 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM
3155
OptionProbability
50
37
0