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Prediction markets for Nous Research
OptionVotes
1705
586
By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?
Mar 22, 5:09 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
76.02%chance
6514148
OptionVotes
1660
648
Which LLM Maker will have the largest Emotional Intelligence Benchmark Elo Score on https://eqbench.com on Jan 1, 2027?
Jan 6, 7:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
1109
OptionProbability
44
32
5
5
5
5
5
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