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Prediction markets for NSA
Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?
Nov 23, 11:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.32%chance
8821179
OptionVotes
13505
8680
OptionProbability
72
61
59
58
52
51
51
47
41
38
37
35
35
29
22
21
20
15
0
Will the US government take control of Anthropic or its major technologies before 2030?
Jun 12, 7:30 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
21.44%chance
141748
OptionVotes
1914
522
🚺Which of these positions that have never been women will have their first by the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 1, 5:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
221634
OptionProbability
100
84
76
76
76
74
71
66
66
64
59
48
44
42
40
19
4
2
Will any major three letter USA federal agency stop operating before 2045, if yes, which one first?
Aug 27, 7:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
18785
OptionProbability
29
12
10
8
7
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
What other government agencies will deny access to members of Congress?
Feb 7, 8:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3558
OptionProbability
36
36
33
33
33
33
33
33
33
31
31
31
31
OptionVotes
320
247
Will the 12-month inflation rate announced in January 2026 be lower or equal than 3.0%
Nov 15, 11:55 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
40.19%chance
5320
OptionVotes
1220
820
Will any encryption scheme suggested by the NSA's Commercial National Security Algorithm Suite be broken by April 2028?
Mar 14, 11:03 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM
25%chance
8147
OptionVotes
253
123
Will there be a first female director of the FBI before the NSA?
Apr 1, 5:20 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
57.83%chance
460
OptionVotes
209
155
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