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NSC News

    Prediction markets for NSC

    Which of these parties will be the first to suffer "zetelroof" in the House after the Dutch 2023 general election?

    Nov 25, 3:50 PMDec 2, 10:59 PM
    134936

    OptionProbability

    NSC

    PVV

    GL-PVDA

    VVD

    D66

    BBB

    CDA

    None of the listed parties before the next general election

    99

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which parties will gain seats in the next Dutch General Election?

    Nov 25, 2:26 PMDec 2, 10:59 PM
    224646

    OptionProbability

    JA21 (>1)

    CDA (>5)

    PVDD (>3)

    SP (>5)

    VOLT (>2)

    GL-PVDA (>25)

    D66 (>9)

    DENK (>3)

    CU (>3)

    FVD (>3)

    SGP (>3)

    VVD (>24)

    Any party founded after the 2023 election (>0)

    PVV (>37)

    BBB (>7)

    50PLUS (>0)

    BVNL (>0)

    NSC (>20)

    BIJ1 (>0)

    99

    97

    77

    67

    67

    65

    48

    46

    44

    33

    26

    25

    11

    8

    7

    4

    4

    1

    1

    Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?

    Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
    92230

    OptionProbability

    John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    James Comey – Former FBI Director

    James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

    Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

    Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden

    Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States

    Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

    Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama

    John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

    Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

    John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama

    Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

    Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

    Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

    Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

    Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden

    Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

    Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

    Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

    Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

    Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

    Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden

    Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

    James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

    Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

    Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

    Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama

    Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

    Curtis Heide – FBI Agent

    Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

    Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States

    Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

    Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

    Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

    Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

    Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

    Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

    Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

    Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

    Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump

    Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

    Joe Biden – President of the United States

    Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows

    Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

    Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

    Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump

    John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

    Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

    Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

    Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

    Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

    Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

    Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

    Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

    Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS

    100

    100

    74

    68

    68

    68

    66

    61

    59

    56

    56

    51

    49

    49

    48

    48

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    41

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    39

    37

    37

    36

    35

    35

    34

    33

    33

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    27

    Which political parties will be part of the next dutch governing coalition?

    Jul 6, 2:50 PMAug 1, 2:40 PM
    61804

    OptionProbability

    Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA)

    People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD)

    GroenLinks–PvdA

    JA21

    Democrats 66 (D66)

    Christian Union (CU)

    Reformed Political Party (SGP)

    Volt Netherlands

    Party for the Animals (PvdD)

    New Social Contract (NSC)

    Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB)

    Socialist Party (SP)

    Party for Freedom (PVV)

    Denk

    Forum for Democracy (FvD)

    81

    80

    69

    46

    40

    40

    40

    40

    25

    18

    18

    17

    12

    12

    4

    How many seats will Pieter Omtzigt's NSC have in the Dutch House of Representatives after the next general election?

    Nov 25, 1:31 PMDec 2, 10:59 PM
    91029

    OptionProbability

    At least 1

    At least 5

    At least 10

    At least 15

    At least 25

    At least 20

    At least 30

    At least 35

    75

    9

    9

    8

    7

    4

    4

    4

    Who will become the 'lijsttrekker' of NSC for the 2025 Dutch elections?

    Jun 17, 9:07 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    4626

    OptionProbability

    Eddy van Hijum

    Diederik Boomsma

    Other

    97

    2

    1

    NSC wins seats in 2025 Dutch Elections?

    Jun 4, 8:08 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    10.39%chance
    8596

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    294

    34

    CDA overtakes VVD at 2025 Dutch Elections

    Jun 23, 8:55 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    69.23%chance
    5269

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    150

    67

    Outcome of the Dutch 2025 parliamentary elections (resolves according to seat share)

    Jun 10, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    4178

    OptionProbability

    PVV

    GL-PVDA

    CDA

    VVD

    JA21

    D66

    SP

    ChristenUnie

    SGP

    DENK

    FvD

    50PLUS

    PvdD

    Volt

    BBB

    NSC

    BIJ1

    Other

    17

    16

    13

    11

    7

    5

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

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