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Top stories

OAS Secretary General Albert Ramdin Presents August 20 Roadmap for Stability in Haiti Amid U.S. Military Deployment Near Venezuela

US Foreign Policy

OAS Secretary General Albert Ramdin Presents August 20 Roadmap for Stability in Haiti Amid U.S. Military Deployment Near Venezuela

Authors

3

4 months ago

Prediction markets for OAS

When will I be able to call a Waymo to get from the Oakland airport to Berkeley's campus?

Sep 25, 12:20 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

257176

OptionProbability

in 2027

between October 1 and December 31, 2026

2028 and onwards

between Jan 1 and March 31, 2026

between April 1 and June 30, 2026

between July 1 and September 30, 2026

by March 31, 2025

between April 1 and June 30, 2025

between July 1 and September 30, 2025

between October 1 and December 31, 2025

43

20

17

5

5

5

1

1

1

1

Will I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to San Francisco (or back) by the end of 2025?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.46%chance

172842

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3094

323

Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?

May 1, 10:11 AMJan 1, 10:04 AM

29.38%chance

231983

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

645

Will Donald Trump be charged with lying under oath (perjury) by the end of 2025?

Apr 2, 12:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.53%chance

201712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2043

46

Will the Oakland A's play a home game in their new stadium in Las Vegas by 2027?

Apr 21, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.59%chance

11742

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

321

Will Soy, Oat, Almond and other Non Dairy Milks still be allowed to use the word 'Milk' in the USA on Jan 1st 2028?

Dec 6, 5:38 AMJan 1, 5:00 PM

89.22%chance

15478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

984

887

Will the "Save The Darwin Oak" petition succeed?

Nov 3, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:00 PM

37.52%chance

10193

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

91

Will the Oakland Athletics make the playoffs the first full season played at their new stadium in Las Vegas?

Apr 1, 1:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.17%chance

9192

OptionVotes

YES

NO

406

194

Will the SF-Oakland Bay Bridge receive additional physical protection due to the FSK Bridge collapse?

Mar 28, 5:36 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

38.07%chance

693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

183

Will the Oakland Athletics change their logo or team colors by the time they play their first game in Las Vegas?

Apr 30, 5:48 AMMar 2, 5:59 AM

37.21%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

114

Will a diffusion transformer (like what's used in oasis) generate an entire subreddit by EOY2026?

Nov 10, 7:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.17%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Will Edward Oakley Thorp reach age 100?

May 16, 2:24 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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