OECD News

Record Debt and Rising Yields Stoke Fears of Global Fiscal Dominance

6 months ago

US Leisure Reading Drops 40% Since 2003, Study Shows

Denmark

Education

Culture

US Leisure Reading Drops 40% Since 2003, Study Shows

6 months ago

Chile

Economics

Politics

Evelyn Matthei of Chile Vamos and Amarillos Proposes Tax Cuts, Targets 3%-4% Growth, Criticizes Communist Party

6 months ago

Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030?

Mar 24, 1:08 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

86.58%chance

7314271

OptionVotes

YES

1495

1133

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

May 3, 5:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

69.74%chance

474446

OptionVotes

YES

1486

658

When will fusion power become viable?

Dec 4, 6:12 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

69.37%chance

563948

OptionProbability

YES

1600

882

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

213780

OptionProbability

Paris Climate Agreement

United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO)

World Health Organization (WHO)

United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC)

United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA)

World Trade Organization (WTO)

North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)

International Labour Organization (ILO)

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

World Bank

International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)

United Nations (UN)

International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)

Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?

Aug 19, 10:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

82.26%chance

241255

OptionVotes

YES

1445

838

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?

Dec 4, 3:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.14%chance

4750

OptionVotes

YES

1650

606

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Aug 29, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

42.85%chance

15727

OptionVotes

YES

1151

729

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

11274

OptionVotes

YES

242

126

Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?

Jan 13, 12:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.83%chance

9269

OptionVotes

YES

169

155

Which of these countries will be the first to become an OECD member?

Nov 6, 12:33 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

10227

OptionProbability

Croatia

Argentina

Bulgaria

Romania

Brazil

Peru

How many OECD countries will have court ordered semaglutide drugs (e.g., Ozempic) by the end of 2030

Mar 1, 10:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11212

OptionProbability

0 or 1

2 or more

By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?

Nov 26, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.86%chance

6199

OptionVotes

YES

1125

889

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Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030?

Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?

When will fusion power become viable?

Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?

Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will major institutions call human labor “uncompetitive” vs AI in some domain by end of 2040?

LLMs widely used in economics modeling by the end of 2026?

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?

Which of these countries will be the first to become an OECD member?

How many OECD countries will have court ordered semaglutide drugs (e.g., Ozempic) by the end of 2030

By the end of 2026, will global crude steelmaking capacity be at least 2,600 million tonnes per year?

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