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Prediction markets for OECD
OptionVotes
6266
5717
Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?
May 3, 5:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
68.82%chance
494571
OptionVotes
1454
672
OptionProbability
1600
882
Which international organizations or agreements will the United States leave before 2029?
Jan 22, 1:22 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
223816
OptionProbability
99
95
95
80
80
72
55
54
53
49
44
43
38
36
31
15
Will AI have a significant impact on a national (general) election in an OECD country by 01-01-2028?
Aug 19, 10:41 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
82.26%chance
241255
OptionVotes
1445
838
OptionVotes
120
20
Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?
Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
55%chance
11274
OptionVotes
242
126
Will any OECD or NATO country experience a successful coup d'état by 2030?
Jan 13, 12:30 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
24.83%chance
9269
OptionVotes
169
155
Which of these countries will be the first to become an OECD member?
Nov 6, 12:33 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
10227
OptionProbability
26
22
17
14
12
10
How many OECD countries will have court ordered semaglutide drugs (e.g., Ozempic) by the end of 2030
Mar 1, 10:15 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11212
OptionProbability
79
21
Will OECD total electricity production by natural gas per month be lower than 200TWh in 2026 at least once?
May 26, 4:25 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM
41.56%chance
221
OptionVotes
119
84
Will an official commission or study conclude AI misinformation flipped a national OECD election, before 2031?
Sep 6, 10:25 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
5%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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