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Prediction markets for Office of Homeland Security
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Jan 8, 6:11 PMDec 31, 4:44 PM
51%chance
7912218
OptionVotes
234
98
OptionVotes
192
52
Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?
Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
54.05%chance
72481
OptionVotes
2024
1980
Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
Jul 27, 5:40 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
32239
OptionProbability
6
6
6
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will Iran launch a fatal terrorist attack on U.S. soil by EOY 2026?
Apr 7, 3:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.95%chance
8215
OptionVotes
214
47
OptionProbability
29
29
29
6
6
OptionVotes
111
97